岸田文雄、自由民主党、内閣総理大臣は、広島がお膝元です。だから、「平和」という言葉の似合う政治家です。けれども、この参議院選挙は、色んな課題はあったが、憲法改正が大きな非常に繊細な問題でした。選挙期間中に安倍元首相の銃撃事件が起きて、非常に関心をもたれ、投票率は、実に52.05%（確定値）でした。この国民の過半数が投票された中で、自由民主党は、大きく躍進し、憲法改正賛成野党を合わせると、実に93議席をとり、必要議席82議席を大きく上回りました。
憲法改正賛成党は、自由民主党、公明党、日本維新の会、国民民主党の4党でした。平和憲法を守る一貫した主張の共産党は、惨敗でした。事実、選挙活動の中、街頭演説にも人影はまばらでした。
日本維新の会は、やはり、「大阪」のイメージを変えれなかった。そうして、なんとお膝元の大阪選挙区で半数しか取れなかった。残り半分は、自民党と公明党。関西圏の京都府は「はんなり」という言葉がよく似合う。そう、上品な都市です。だから、京都府民は、トップ当選の自民党と共に勝ったのは、立憲民主党だった。関西圏以外は、かろうじて「神奈川県」だった。
だから、野党なんて、なかなか、生き残るのは、難しい。昔の野党は、現社民党だけれども、かなり小さくなってしまった。
自由民主党も、こんな順風満帆なことばかりない。2000年初め、支持率が低下して大変だった。そんな時、小泉純一郎氏が出てきて、「自民党をぶっ壊してやる！」と叫び、小泉チルドレンが躍進し、衆議院選挙に勝ったのです。だから、自由民主党は、人材が豊富で、いつも強いなーって感じる。それに福祉に強い、公明党と連携している。
今回だって、「憲法改正」が大事な一つの焦点だから、野党の立憲民主党って名前なら、勝てそうだけど、自由民主党が、ウクライナ侵攻により世界が危機感に包まれている中で、「憲法改正」を掲げた。立憲民主党は、野党だから反対側になった。あれ?って思うけれども、野党としては、「憲法改正」は許せない、ってなったようだ。
また、日本維新の会は、野党でありながら、憲法改正案には賛成していたけれども、やはり、「大阪の維新」ってイメージが強いので、日本維新の会の受け皿に立憲民主党がなったのです。だから、共産党より票が取れたのです。
「集団的自衛権」をどのように運用していくのか、気になります。事実、沖縄では、自由民主党は、3000票あまり差で、負けた。米軍軍事基地のある沖縄とは、非常に温度差がある。しかし、ウクライナ情勢をみるたびに、このようなことが起こっては、非常に困るし、この民意と複雑に絡む、国民感情をまとめ上げるのは、非常に困難を伴う。
憲法改正が、どのような形で行われるのか、非常に気になります。解釈だけなのか、平和憲法を書き換えるのか。このままの日本の防衛力だけでは、日本を守れないことは、歴然としているから、国境の緊張している今は、非常に大切な決め事が、多くあることは間違いない。まずは、防衛費の増額は公言しています。この大きなハードルを越えるのに、安倍晋三氏の力は、偉大でした。安倍氏の言葉から引用して「美しい日本」を守って欲しいと感じる選挙でした。
きっと、憲法に何かが起こると筆者は、予想します。
Fumio Kishida, the Liberal Democratic Party, and the Prime Minister have Hiroshima at their knees. Therefore, he is a politician who suits the word “peace”. However, although there were various issues in this House of Councilors election, the revision of the Constitution was a big and very delicate issue. The shooting of former Prime Minister Abe during the election was very interesting, and the voting rate was as high as 52.05% (confirmed value). With the majority of the people voted, the Liberal Democratic Party made a big leap, and when combined with the opposition parties in favor of the constitutional amendment, it took 93 seats, far exceeding the required 82 seats.
There were four parties in favor of constitutional amendment: the Liberal Democratic Party, the Komei Party, the Japan Restoration Society, and the National Democratic Party. The Communist Party, which has a consistent claim to uphold the Peace Constitution, was a devastating defeat. In fact, during the election campaign, the figures were sparse in the street speech.
After all, the Japan Restoration Society could not change the image of “Osaka”. Then, I got only half of them in the Osaka constituency at my knees. The other half are the LDP and the Komei Party. In Kyoto prefecture in the Kansai area, the word “Hannari” suits you well. Yes, it’s an elegant city. Therefore, it was the Constitutional Democratic Party that won along with the top-winning LDP. Except for the Kansai area, it was barely “Kanagawa prefecture”.
Therefore, it is difficult for the opposition party to survive. The old opposition party, which is now the Socialist Party, has become quite small.
The Liberal Democratic Party does not always have such a smooth sailing. At the beginning of 2000, the approval rating dropped and it was difficult. At that time, Junichiro Koizumi came out and shouted, “I’m going to destroy the LDP!”, And Koizumi Children made a leap forward and won the House of Representatives election. Therefore, I feel that the Liberal Democratic Party has abundant human resources and is always strong. In addition, we are working with the Komei Party, which is strong in welfare.
Even this time, “constitutional revision” is one of the important focal points, so if the name of the opposition party is the Constitutional Democratic Party, it seems that we can win, but while the Liberal Democratic Party is surrounded by a sense of crisis due to the invasion of Ukraine, “Constitutional revision” “. The Constitutional Democratic Party was on the other side because it was an opposition party. I wonder, but it seems that the opposition party cannot forgive “constitutional revision”.
Also, although the Japan Restoration Society was an opposition party, it was in favor of the constitutional amendment, but after all, the image of “Osaka Restoration” is strong, so it became the Constitutional Democratic Party as the recipient of the Japan Restoration Society. is. That’s why I got a vote from the Communist Party.
I am wondering how to manage the “collective self-defense right”. In fact, in Okinawa, the Liberal Democratic Party lost by about 3,000 votes. There is a great difference in temperature from Okinawa, where the US military base is located. However, every time I look at the situation in Ukraine, it is very embarrassing if such a thing happens, and it is very difficult to put together the national sentiment that is intricately related to this people’s will.
I am very curious about how the constitutional amendment will take place. Is it just an interpretation or a rewrite of the Peace Constitution? It is clear that Japan cannot be protected by the defense power of Japan as it is, so there is no doubt that there are many very important decisions now that the borders are tense. First of all, we are proclaiming an increase in defense costs. Shinzo Abe’s power was great in overcoming this big hurdle. It was an election that I wanted to protect “beautiful Japan”, quoting from Mr. Abe’s words.
I’m sure something will happen to the Constitution.
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